Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.262996 0.309645 0.365147 0.436914 0.528534 0.643385 0.801199
2025-01-19 0.192255 0.247729 0.322522 0.434166 0.603029 0.860774 1.310715
2025-01-26 0.156169 0.214660 0.301141 0.445600 0.697535 1.157892 2.184119
2025-02-02 0.134255 0.194029 0.289128 0.463596 0.808700 1.557650 3.727315
2025-02-09 0.117814 0.177120 0.277190 0.475717 0.914376 2.034519 6.326727
2025-02-16 0.105942 0.164728 0.269112 0.491261 1.035978 2.675323 11.350836
2025-02-23 0.095852 0.153253 0.259642 0.500237 1.148366 3.435612 20.853225
2025-03-02 0.087216 0.142769 0.249573 0.504328 1.252090 4.334980 40.125247
2025-03-09 0.079460 0.132635 0.238053 0.501238 1.334817 5.316809 80.373606
2025-03-16 0.072243 0.122482 0.224565 0.489139 1.382783 6.255301 163.687261
2025-03-23 0.068297 0.118120 0.222637 0.507185 1.556167 8.492789 670.677573
2025-03-30 0.062844 0.110041 0.211042 0.494781 1.602720 9.998418 2612.113798
2025-04-06 0.059190 0.105301 0.206563 0.503028 1.754577 13.319945 190173.263999
2025-04-13 0.055111 0.099228 0.198031 0.496680 1.838284 16.548924 NaN
2025-04-20 0.052463 0.095885 0.195559 0.509380 2.039438 23.500425 NaN
2025-04-27 0.050449 0.093666 0.195500 0.530561 2.321390 36.584689 NaN
2025-05-04 0.048306 0.090911 0.193612 0.544955 2.588292 56.726154 NaN
2025-05-11 0.046499 0.088708 0.192815 0.563539 2.923039 96.468855 NaN
2025-05-18 0.044555 0.085981 0.190174 0.574293 3.225217 164.302370 NaN
2025-05-25 0.042583 0.082991 0.186356 0.579201 3.496996 284.481075 NaN
2025-06-01 0.040518 0.079588 0.180891 0.575490 3.691179 477.354285 NaN
2025-06-08 0.038317 0.075677 0.173457 0.560981 3.758249 717.232453 NaN
2025-06-15 0.037284 0.074492 0.173851 0.582630 4.302239 2538.442947 NaN